The Bobcats have played better than any other team on the road this year and the Pistons come into this game in a potential let down spot after just beating the Celtics and the Pacers on the road. If anything they are a bit over valued. I don't think they play enough defense to cover this spread and the Bobcats have nothing to look ahead to while the Pistons are starring at the Rockets on Saturday night. The under dog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings as well.


The under is 10-3 in the Pacers last 13 home games and they face the second best offense in the league tonight after back to back losses. The Pacers have the best defense at home and it is not even close. I think to win this game they know they have to bounce back with a great defensive effort. The total in the Rockets/Bulls game was 191 and the Pacers defense is much better so I totally think we are getting some value here after the public pushed it up a few points. The under is also 15-7 in the last 22 meetings.

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